US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said today
in Chicago, that he is concerned about the rising number of home loan
delinquencies in the US. His remarks coincide with a report in today's
Wall Street Journal that soaring housing prices and aggressive mortgage lending
have saddled American home buyers with ever greater levels of debt, and early
signs are now emerging that more people are unable to keep up with their monthly
mortgage payments.
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| President George W. Bush announces
the nomination of Ben Bernanke as Chairman of the Federal Reserve, replacing
Alan Greenspan upon his retirement in January 2006. The announcement came
Monday, Oct. 24, 2005, in the Oval Office.
|
The Journal says that recent studies by several Wall
Street firms point to rising delinquency rates on home mortgages that were
issued last year, a period when lenders were pushing hard to keep business going
as interest rates and home prices were rising. The increase in late loan
payments comes as more buyers have been forced to stretch financially to afford
ever costlier houses in recent years, and many homeowners have increased debt by
tapping their home's equity. Analysts say that laxer lending standards on the
part of mortgage lenders also resulted in higher debt loads, which some
borrowers are now struggling to repay.
The Journal notes that mortgage delinquencies remain
low by historical standards but experts worry the trend could worsen. With the
housing market cooling and interest rates rising, "by the end of the year you
could see a substantial increase in delinquency rates" for mortgages, says
Thomas Lawler, a housing market economist.
Mortgage delinquencies historically peak around three
years after loans are made, which means some of the more aggressive loans made
last year might experience their biggest problems in 2008. The newspaper says
that borrowers who took out mortgages in the past two years are likely to be
more vulnerable should home prices fall because they could wind up owing more
than their home is worth. Twenty-nine percent of borrowers who took out
mortgages last year have no equity in their homes or owe more than their house
in worth, according to a study completed this year by Christopher L. Cagan,
director of research and analytics for First American Real Estate Solutions, a
unit of First American Corp. That compares with 10.6% of those who took out
loans in 2004.
An analysis by investment bank Bear Stearns has
found that delinquencies on loans originated in 2005 were in most cases far
higher than on loans issued in previous years at the same point in their life
cycle. "The numbers are clearly worse," says Gyan Sinha, a senior managing
director at Bear Stearns. The reason: Lenders were "able to generate a lot more
volume in the face of rising rates" by loosening lending standards, Mr. Sinha
says. "More aggressive lending was clearly taking place," he says.