| Click for the Finfacts Ireland Portal Homepage |

Finfacts Business News Centre

News Main Page 
 
 News
 Irish
 European
 International
 Asia-Pacific Business Week
 
 Analysis/Comment

RSS FEED


How to use our RSS feed

 
Web Finfacts

Welcome

Finfacts is Ireland's leading business information site and you are in its business news section.

We provide access to live business television and business related videos from: Bloomberg TV; The Wall Street Journal; CNBC and the Financial Times. Click image:

Links

Finfacts Homepage

Global News

Bloomberg News

CNN Money

Cnet Tech News

Newspapers

Irish Independent

Irish Times

Irish Examiner

New York Times

Financial Times

Technology News

 

Feedback

 

Search

News : European Last Updated: Jan 9th, 2008 - 07:30:14


UK sales of commercial property plunged in Q4 2007 because of credit crunch; Market set for biggest annual losses in more than 25 years
By Finfacts Team
Jan 8, 2008, 04:46

Email this article
 Printer friendly page
In November 2007, Derek Quinlan, Founder and Executive Chairman of Irish investment company Quinlan Private, in a personal capacity, together with Propinvest, a leading private property investment company, completed the acquisition of 25 Canada Square in Canary Wharf, London. The transaction is a 50/50joint venture between Derek Quinlan and Propinvest. Consideration for the transaction was £1 billion (about €1.4 billion). The property is a 42 storey landmark tower which is let, in its entirety, to US banking giant Citigroup.

Derek Quinlan, a former Irish tax inspector, is Executive Chairman of Quinlan Private, a leading international private equity and real estate group, which he founded in 1989. Quinlan Private currently manages assets in excess of €11.5 billion.

UK sales of commercial property plunged in the fourth quarter of 2007, hit by both falling prices and the credit crunch.

The value of transactions fell from £15bn in the third quarter to £5.5bn in the fourth, according to data provider Property Data. The dismal figures contrasted sharply with £20.1bn value of deals that were transacted in the last three months of 2006.

The last time quarterly sales dipped below £5.5bn was in 2002, during the traditionally low activity first three months.

According to IPD (Investment Property Databank), a leading index provider for commercial property, prices have fallen by nearly 10% since their peak last summer. IPD says that owners may record losses of at least 11% in 2008, according to prices of derivatives contracts pegged to indexes its maintains.

The fall would be the largest since IPD introduced its annual total-return index in 1981, which combines data for rental incomes and changes to appraisal values. The benchmark index covers £200 billion of investments and excludes debt, which can multiply property gains or losses.

Total returns on the IPD UK Monthly Index fell by a massive 3.6% in November - the fourth consecutive monthly fall. This was the worst monthly total return on record, beating the:

-1.8% recorded in May 1990 by some distance. The year-to-date return stood at -1.8%, indicating a negative total return on the UK Annual Index for the first time since 1992.

Commercial property values fell by a cumulative 7.8% in the year to November, which compares to a cumulative 27% fall between 1989 and 1993. Nonetheless, in sharp contrast to the early 1990s, IPD said that the occupier market remains healthy, with positive rental growth across all sectors.

Co-founding Director and Head of Systems and Information Standards, Ian Cullen said: “The unique coincidence of economic and financial pressures which is driving this unprecedented property market realignment makes it all the more difficult to project our IPD numbers, even into the near future. It would, however, be heroically brave to call the bottom of the market before the turkey has even been stuffed.”

Commercial property agents Jones Lang LaSalle said in November that in the nine months to the end of September 2007, Irish investors put €8.2bn in overseas property compared with an estimated €6.0bn in the same period in 2006.

Using Bank of Ireland Private Banking data, the total Irish investment in commercial property (equity and borrowings) is about €50 billion, mainly overseas, since 2001, compared with a €1 billion in venture capital in Irish business. The London market has been the location of choice for most Irish overseas commercial property investment and Irish investors own several buildings on key shopping streets such as New Bond Street.

Property Data said that Central London was the hardest hit area in the fourth quarter, as transactions fell from £6.7bn in the third quarter to just over £1bn.

Bloomberg News reported on Monday that British Land has yet to find tenants for its Ropemaker and Leadenhall Building developments in London's main financial district, which are scheduled to be completed by 2011. The company's shares tumbled 45% in 2007, exceeding the average 39% decline for UK real estate stocks.

The Financial Times reported in December that open-ended commercial property funds have ended their worst period for 15 years.

Up to118,000 policyholders in Friends Provident’s £1.2bn UK commercial property funds were told that it could take up to six months to withdraw or switch money, because of a cash liquidity crisis.

Clerical Medical, part of HBOS, also became the latest to be forced into an exceptional devaluation of commercial property funds, slashing 19% off the value of units in its four retail trusts, worth some £2.3bn.


© Copyright 2007 by Finfacts.com

Top of Page

European
Latest Headlines
German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment fell in January to a to 15-Year low indicating plunge in investor confidence
UK Annual Consumer Price Inflation held steady in December at 2.1%
Total cost of employment in Ireland at €38,541in 2007 - 16th of 24 EU countries; New EU member states have lowest labour costs
European Union countries fighting over share-out for cutting greenhouse gas emissions; Environment Commissioner now says some biofuels do more harm than good
UK factory gate/wholesale price annual inflation rose to 5% in December - the highest since 1991
Eurozone industrial production fell 0.5% in November
Manchester United almost doubled profit in 2007; Premier League clubs’ revenues to increase significantly in 2007/08 to over £1.76bn
Trichet says ECB is in position of "total alertness" to act in response to price/wage setting linked to the current high Eurozone headline inflation rate
European Central Bank keeps its its benchmark interest rate on hold at 4.00%; Trichet to warn of inflation risks at press conference
Bank of England keeps benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5.50%
European Central Bank expected to keep benchmark interest rate on hold at 4%; Bank of England base rate cut likely
Eurozone Economic Outlook: GDP growth to slow to annual rate of 2.1% in Q2 2008; If negative shocks were to fade economic slowdown may be only transitory
European Commission analysis looks at the role of India in world agriculture
Eurozone GDP revised up to 0.8% in Q3 2007 - up 2.7% in year to September
German exports and retail sales fell in November 2007
UK Consumer Confidence fell in December; Marks & Spencer reports first same-store sales fall in 2 1/2 years on reduced Christmas spending
Eurozone retail sales volume fell 0.5% in November 2007 - down 1.4% on annual basis but up 0.9% in EU27
UK Retail Sales December 2007: A far from Merry Christmas in the High Street
UK sales of commercial property plunged in Q4 2007 because of credit crunch; Market set for biggest annual losses in more than 25 years
Eurozone Business Climate Indicator and Economic Sentiment Indicator weakened in December 2007