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News : International Last Updated: Apr 24, 2009 - 5:31:05 PM


Markets News Wednesday: European markets down in early trading; Oil above $101 in New York; Dollar/Euro at $1.56
By Finfacts Team
Mar 26, 2008 - 9:04:30 AM

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Shanghai World Financial Center

In New York Tuesday, investors were reported to be torn between hope that the Federal Reserve has got to grips with the credit crisis and dismal economic data which showed that the short-term outlook at least remains poor.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended a three-day winning streak, and closed down 16.04 points, or 0.1%, to close at 12532.60, down 6.1% on the year. However, the tech-dominant Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.6%, or 14.30 points, to end at 2341.05, down 12% on the year. The S&P 500 rose 0.2%, or 3.09 points, to 1352.97 and is off 7.9% in 2008.

House prices were reported to have fallen in January to a record low according to the S&P/Case-Shiller House Index and consumer expectations fell in March to the lowest level since 1973 when Richard Nixon was in the White House.

The broad-based Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index rose 1.9%.

SEE Finfacts Report:Credit crisis returns to peaks in Europe and US; Iceland raises benchmark interest rate to 15%; US broad-based S&P 500 index closes at nine-year low

In Asia-Pacific, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which tracks more than 1,050 regional companies, was little changed at 140 today and the Nikkei 225 fell 0.3%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.18% and Hong Kong and Shanghai made small gains.

Asia-Pacific Benchmarks

Following sharp rises on Tuesday, European markets are trading down Wednesday.

In Dublin, the ISEQ Index is just slightly down in early tarding.
 

National benchmarks- Europe

Irish Share Prices

Euribor Rates

AIB Daily Report

Bank of Ireland Daily Report

Currencies

The euro is trading at $1.5601 and at £0.7787.

For live currency updates, check the right-hand column of the Finfacts home page.

Commodities

Crude oil for April delivery is trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex) at $101.63 up 41 cents from Tuesday's close. In London, Brent is trading on the International Commodities Exchange at $100.94 up 34 cents.

The Financial Times reports that as speculators and investors attract blame for driving up commodity costs, new research shows demand from industrial users has spurred a price boom in a range of metals.

Prices of metals such as iron ore and cobalt that are bought and sold privately between producers and customers have risen faster than others such as copper that are traded on exchanges, says Lehman Brothers.

The investment bank says this lends weight to the argument that supply and demand factors rather than just financial flows are behind the boom in prices.

The FT says Lehman's new index of non-exchange traded metals rose by 598 per cent from January 2002 to early this year. During the same time, an index of exchange traded metals rose 246 per cent.

The diverging trend has gained pace in the past year with non-exchange traded metals rising 94 per cent and exchange traded metals gaining 26 per cent.

Michael Widmer of Lehman Brothers said speculators had difficulty gaining access to non-exchanged metals, meaning their price surge should reflect fundamentals more closely.

Gold spot price

 

The spot price of gold is at $937.30 per ounce up $3.30 from Tuesday's close in New York.

Mark O'Byrne, Director of Gold Assets UK and Ireland commented on Tuesday:

Gold has rallied on bargain hunting as gold’s short term overbought status has been corrected and some investors and speculators feel that the sell off is overdone and the metals may have become oversold in the short term. While there may be further consolidation at these levels, gold will likely resume its upward march sooner than expected and we will likely see gold back near (nominal) record highs above $1,030 before the end of April.

Despite the usual misguided and uninformed commentary there is no change in the long term fundamentals driving the gold market. Some of the superficial commentary is by those who came late and are recent converts to the precious metals markets. Many did not forecast or predict gold above $1,000 (nor did they predict oil over $100 or the dollar at $1.60 to the euro) and now they incorrectly assert that the ‘bubble’ is burst. This is a dangerous and deluded assertion especially as we are in the midst and likely the early stages of the worst financial crisis since the Wall Street Crash of 1929 and the Great Depression.

With the financial crisis set to continue, this is another short term healthy correction in gold’s bull market. While the severity of the sell off will have made newcomers to the market understandably nervous, it was not unexpected given the extent of gold’s surge in recent weeks. Indeed despite this latest sharp sell off gold remains up more than 11% so far this year unlike all major stock markets which remain down and some significantly.

Gold’s safe haven qualities can be clearly seen in the table above and chart below and these safe haven attributes will be realized by all in the coming months.


© Copyright 2009 by Finfacts.com

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